India’s Cable News Predicted a Big Modi Win. How Did They Get It So Wrong?

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Asia Pacific|India’s Cable News Predicted a Big Modi Win. How Did They Get It So Wrong?

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/04/world/asia/india-election-news-modi.html

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s slim predetermination triumph has forced India to bespeak connected however fawning sum whitethorn person obscured a question of opposition.

People successful  chairs, seen from behind, ticker  predetermination  returns connected  3  screens.
Journalists watching predetermination results successful Mumbai past month.Credit...Punit Paranjpe/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Sameer Yasir

July 4, 2024, 12:28 a.m. ET

Through the months of India’s sprawling nationalist predetermination season, the country’s hundreds of cablegram quality outlets each seemed to beryllium trying to outdo each other: They predicted that Prime Minister Narendra Modi would win, and triumph big.

The existent predetermination results connected June 4, however, saw his fortunes plummet truthful low that helium secured different word lone with the assistance of conjugation partners.

It was a shocking effect to many, and present India finds itself wondering wherefore truthful fewer foresaw the popularity of an absorption movement. Some outlets had predicted that Mr. Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party, oregon B.J.P., would triumph arsenic galore arsenic 400 of the 543 disposable seats successful Parliament, but successful the end, it won lone 240.

Many spot the disparity arsenic a motion of however thoroughly the premier curate had cowed the mainstream media, and however his power of the accusation strategy had grown truthful implicit that the hype obscured voters’ existent sentiments.

During Mr. Modi’s decennary successful office, a premix of pressures and incentives turned mainstream quality channels into cheerleaders of his each move. They presented the almighty premier curate arsenic an unstoppable leader, excessively overwhelming for immoderate hostile to challenge. Debating him connected policy, oregon adjacent connected his transportation of his promises, was retired of the question.

Many reporters astatine established quality outlets embraced what Mr. Modi had normalized: taking pridefulness successful his Hindu-first imaginativeness of India. Those who investigated the unsavory broadside of his tenure, including autarkic bodies that sharply critiqued his policies, were ostracized, raided oregon different forced to surrender.


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